The Fed Descends On Jackson Hole, The Market Won’t Get What It’s Looking For

Today is a holiday-shortened session but that doesn’t mean that the markets will be on vacation.

The day’s big event is Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s speech at the Fed’s annual symposium in Jackson Hole, WY.

Investors will dissect every phrase looking for clues about the economy and housing.

More importantly, markets want some [...]

How The Stock Market Rally Changed Mortgage Pricing For The Worse

Mortgage rates unexpectedly increased yesterday afternoon as the U.S. stock market staged a late rally.

By the end of the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1.9 percent, or 247.77 points.

This is a typical pattern.

When stocks are moving higher, investors want to ride the wave and look for sources of [...]

How Credit Cards May Be Replacing Home Equity As A Funding Source

As mortgage guidelines loosened between 2002 and 2006, homeowners often used their home equity to retire credit card and other consumer debt. They did this by increasing the size of the mortgage and taking “cash out” from their home.

As you’d expect, this type of mortgage transaction is called a “cash out” refinance.

Well, now that [...]

What’s The Existing Home Sales Report Got To Do With You? Nothing.

When the National Association of Realtors® releases its monthly Existing Home Sales report, people tend to watch every word, fact and figure in the statement in hopes of decoding the real estate market.

It’s all wasted energy.

It’s impossible to use the NAR report in everyday living because the NAR report is a national story. [...]

The Week In Review (August 27, 2007) : What To Watch For

This week is data-heavy so markets will finally get to focus on fundamentals instead of fear.

For the past two weeks, uncertainty about the economy has led to psychologically-driven mortgage interest rate movements.

Rising defaults devalue mortgage holdings and many investors are now expecting the defaults levels to rise even more.

When defaults exceed expectations, it [...]

Understanding Real Estate Terms: Absorption Rate

In light of today’s New Homes Sales data and Monday’s forthcoming Existing Homes Sales report, let’s review a term that real estate professionals use to describe housing inventory.

Absorption Rate is a real estate term for the length of time required to sell all of a given stock in a given area.

We can use [...]

New Homes “Sold” Is Not The Same As New Homes “Closed”

With tomorrow morning’s New Home Sales report, markets will get a look at the number of newly-constructed homes sold in July.

The figure is expected to be in the 825,000 range. This is lower than June’s 834,000 figure.

But — as always — there is more to the story.

When the Census Bureau reports on New [...]

Why Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) Is Suddenly Popular

Suddenly, Private Mortgage Insurance is back in vogue. If only by default.

The story background is well-documented in this Bankrate.com article from 2002. The article is five years old, but it still raises some salient points.

What the article doesn’t highlight is that second mortgages such as home equity loans are typically sold [...]

Like The Fed Funds Rate, The Fed’s Discount Rate Does Not Control Mortgage Rates

Friday, the Federal Reserve lowered its Discount Rate by 0.50% in an effort to preserve liquidity among our nation’s banks.

This has nothing to do with mortgage rates that people like you and I get for our homes. Well, not directly at least.

The Discount Rate is the rate at which banks borrow money [...]

The Week In Review (August 20, 2007) : What To Watch For

Again last week, financiers failed to answer the major question dogging Wall Street: What is the “right” risk model to use for mortgage lending? The models of the past are being proven to have been wrong.

So, why do risk models matter?

Because the basic tenet of lending states that the riskier the loan, [...]